Skip to main content

Ontario loses 75,000 FT jobs. But who cares?

Last week, the government announced that it would renege on its election funding promises. Now Dwight Duncan is making more noises about what this may mean. Here's some of his comments to the Toronto Star:

The Ontario government faces "very difficult choices" as it moves to limit spending increases to just 1 per cent, warns Finance Minister Dwight Duncan. ... Duncan said his fall economic statement the week after next would signal the belt-tightening that looms ahead as the Liberals strive to eliminate the deficit. "Traditionally, fall economic statements are about updating the numbers for the last budget. We're going to do that, but more importantly we're going to start to lay the path towards the next budget and the sorts of decisions that we are going to need to take in order to stay on target for our balanced budget (in 2017-18)," he said."Those inevitably will involve some very difficult choices."

 Duncan told a business reporter of the Globe and Mail "This will be a long period of restraint. My view continues to be that there will be a lot of difficult choices," while indicating that revenues would fall short due to reduced growth.  Clearly, the government's  fall economic statement later this month is going to be something to watch this time round.

With this, we are now hearing all sorts of advice on the new situation. Tory leader Tim Hudak wants a wage freeze, changes to the interest arbitration system for essential workers, and to "rein in the size and the cost of government" ; the former head of the Champlain LHIN is calling for more regionalization of health care; and the Globe & Mail now says "Everything is on the table, including the possibility of letting the private sector deliver some health-care services." (If so, this is also contrary to earlier Liberal promises.)

In the first eight years of the Liberal government funding increased a little over 7% per year, on average. The government had planned to move to 1.8% increases, but now plans six years of 1% increases.

Austerity has helped drive Europe into higher unemployment and economic crisis and it may well do the same here.  While there is little sign of the alternative  -- a public sector jobs and growth strategy --  in Ontario or elsewhere, it is apparent that even some conservative economists are concerned about the impact of public sector austerity on jobs, growth, the economy, and debt.

Ontario lost 75,400 full time jobs last month.  Just under 38,000 people joined the unemployed, officially.  This pushed the (official) unemployment rate to 8.1%, a half percentage point higher than the previous month, and leaving Ontario with an unemployment rate well above the national average.   

But the McGuinty government is focused on cuts instead - cuts that will drive unemployment.  And the official opposition is even less focused on jobs, with Tim Hudak making clear he will prop up the government if it implements cuts. 

For now working people (and public services) are going to be made to pay the price, it seems.  A deepening economic crisis may, however, bring new approaches to the fore.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Ford government fails to respond to 72% increase in COVID inpatient days, deepening the capacity crisis

COVID infections continue to drive up hospital costs and inpatient hospitalizations in Ontario. For the most recent fiscal year (April 1, 2022- March 31, 2023) hospital stays related to COVID cost $1.221 billion, according to new CIHI data.   This is about 4% of total hospital spending, creating a very significant new cost pressure beyond the usual pressures of population growth, aging, inflation, and rising utilization.   Costs for COVID related hospitalizations increased 22.2% in Ontario in 2022/23 from the previous fiscal year, rising from $999 million to $1.221 billion.  That rise is particularly notable as the OMICRON spike of late 2021 and early 2022 had passed by the the 2022/23 fiscal year.   The $222 million increase in COVID hospitalization costs came in the same year as the Ford government cut special COVID funding and, in fact, cut total hospital funding by $156 million.     In total, there were 60,653 COVID hospitalizations...

The hospital crisis: No capacity, no plan, no end

While Canada has achieved universal public healthcare coverage, that does not mean conservative forces have given up trying to erode that coverage and expand corporate care where it does not currently exist. The battle has become particularly intense in Ontario under the Ford Progressive Conservative government, which is implementing serious cuts to the level of care and moving to bring in for-profit mini-hospitals. Inadequate Staffing.   Less and less of hospital spending is on staff.   Employee compensation as a share of hospital expenditures has consistently shrunk in Ontario. This is not some immutable law of hospital development.  It is in stark contrast with the rest of Canada, where compensation has become a larger share and now accounts for 67.1%. Hospitals in provinces other than Ontario now have 18 percent more staff per capita than hospitals in Ontario. Overall, if Ontario had the same staffing capacity as the other provinces and territories, there would be another...

Too many public sector workers in Ontario?

Opponents of public services often try to portray the public sector as having grown disproportionately.  In fact, since 1976, the number of public sector employees has not quite kept pace with the population. In 1976, the number of public sector employees in Ontario  as reported by Statistics Canada averaged 830,800.  By 2012, the number had increased to 1,330,700 -- a 60.2% increase.  That sounds like significant growth -- true. But the population has increased  from 8,413,779 in 1976 to 13,505,900 in 2012, a 60.5% increase.   In other words, population growth has run slightly ahead of the growth in public sector employment.     In 1976, close to 10% of the population worked in the public sector.  It stayed pretty much this way until the Mike Harris government came to power when it dipped below 9%.  It returned close to the historical range in the last six years or so, declining in 2012 to below the 1976 averag...