The Auditor General reports that the stock of long-term care beds in Ontario has grown only 3% since 2004-5. Over seven years (until 2011-12) that means an annual average growth rate of 0.42% (or about 319 beds per year). Photo: Derek Tyson That falls well short of population growth. But much more important, it falls far short of the growth of the relevant population - the elderly. Or as the Auditor General demurely states: " An increase in the number of LTC home beds of 3% during that period has not kept pace with the rising demand from an aging population." Ontario Ministry of Finance figures indicate that in the five years between 2006 and 2011 the number of people 85 and over increased 34%. By 2016 the plus 85 set will have increased by 67% over 2006 -- and the ratio of those 90 and over compared to those between 85 and 90 will have increased from about 50% to 70%. With a 1.5% annual increase in the number of LTC beds, the Conference Board estimates
Notes from Leftwords -- Doug Allan